psychotick
Auror
Hi,
There's a lot we don't know about this illness I'm afraid. But yes these cases you mention are individual cases. And two of them at least are unconnected with the others.
Your two lab infections, are - at least in one case - associated with mice infected with the virus. The reality is that this is dangerous work and should have been done under stringent bio-control conditions. The fact that we have two people infected indicates that there was a mistake made somewhere, and mistakes in micro labs are often extremely serious. The innoculum from a cut for example is often larger than would be received through normal exposure routes, and the viral strains may vary. However the real question you need to ask, going back always to the statistics - is how many people working in that lab were exposed to the pathogen, how many became ill or developed an antibody responce, how many didn't, and how many died. We don't have that data.
The autopsy is an interesting route of exposure, and again if it was known that the patient had died of a viral haemorragic fever, should have been done under extremely controlled conditions. My guess is that it wasn't. And again the severity of the illness experienced from cutting open a body saturated with virus particles, was always likely to be high.
Laura Wine in all probability did not pick up the illness from contact with her unknown patient. That is not the normal route of infection for the illness. It's unfortunately more likely that there were rats and rat faeces in the clinic / hospital. Unfortunately in countries like those in West Africa hospitals are often extremely primitive.
This may also have applied to conditions in Bingham Hospital in Nigeria - though since its currently a teaching hospital attached to a university, I would hope not. However, forty or fifty years ago? I don't know.
The stats for morbidity and mortality in hospital admissions are worrying, and as you say they do seem high. But remember these are people who have been admitted to hospital. So as an example if twenty percent of people with the illness are admitted to hospital, and fifteen percent of them die, that is actually only three percent of all cases. Further the deaths are likely associated with the level of care received by patients, and the timeliness with which they arrive in the hospital. Many people do not go at all, or only if they are already at death's door.
Cheers, Greg.
There's a lot we don't know about this illness I'm afraid. But yes these cases you mention are individual cases. And two of them at least are unconnected with the others.
Your two lab infections, are - at least in one case - associated with mice infected with the virus. The reality is that this is dangerous work and should have been done under stringent bio-control conditions. The fact that we have two people infected indicates that there was a mistake made somewhere, and mistakes in micro labs are often extremely serious. The innoculum from a cut for example is often larger than would be received through normal exposure routes, and the viral strains may vary. However the real question you need to ask, going back always to the statistics - is how many people working in that lab were exposed to the pathogen, how many became ill or developed an antibody responce, how many didn't, and how many died. We don't have that data.
The autopsy is an interesting route of exposure, and again if it was known that the patient had died of a viral haemorragic fever, should have been done under extremely controlled conditions. My guess is that it wasn't. And again the severity of the illness experienced from cutting open a body saturated with virus particles, was always likely to be high.
Laura Wine in all probability did not pick up the illness from contact with her unknown patient. That is not the normal route of infection for the illness. It's unfortunately more likely that there were rats and rat faeces in the clinic / hospital. Unfortunately in countries like those in West Africa hospitals are often extremely primitive.
This may also have applied to conditions in Bingham Hospital in Nigeria - though since its currently a teaching hospital attached to a university, I would hope not. However, forty or fifty years ago? I don't know.
The stats for morbidity and mortality in hospital admissions are worrying, and as you say they do seem high. But remember these are people who have been admitted to hospital. So as an example if twenty percent of people with the illness are admitted to hospital, and fifteen percent of them die, that is actually only three percent of all cases. Further the deaths are likely associated with the level of care received by patients, and the timeliness with which they arrive in the hospital. Many people do not go at all, or only if they are already at death's door.
Cheers, Greg.