Truth is stranger than fiction because fiction has to make sense for our brains to process what we're reading. They'll reject anything else. Reality, on the other hand... I live in a very rural area. I like to joke that you know you're in my neck of the woods when you see a tween peddling a rusty bike down a gravel road like their lives depend on it, being chased by a three-legged pittie mix.Yep, same happens to me. I just write and somehow get to a point where I had no clue what would happen when I was outlining. And I look back at what I wrote and the answer is obvious, given all that happened. Since I started noticing this happening I worry a lot less about gaps or vague bits in my outline. I just assume I'll figure it out when I get there.
And then during the editing it just takes a bit of spit and polish to make the signposts shine just that little bit more.
As for real world events, I always think that there are plenty of real events that are so unbelievable that they'd never make a great fictional tale. Just take Alexander the great. Who would believe a kid gains the throne of his father's kingdom, goes on to conquer the entire known world, never losing a battle, only to die to malaria when he gets back home?
I've seen this three times. I can't make this up, and I'm IRISH. I feel like getting a red pen. "Fate, honey, let's talk plot and conflict."