Plot-holes and inconsistencies...those happen in the real world as well.
Different people can and do remember the same event very differently, or focus on one thing to the point of not even noticing something else. Can't find the link at the moment, but the most recent example of this was one of these internet tests that involved keeping track of the shots during a clip of a basketball game. So, you watch the clip, count the shots, move on to the next section, and the question is 'did you notice the bear prancing about the court?' So, go back and re-watch the clip, and sure enough, there's a guy in a bear suit running around the court, often right next to the players making the shots.
There's another version of this that turns up with...those of extreme mindsets (most often religious cults). To these people, the groups founder or god has all the answers, period. Relevant prophecies *have* to be correct, period. Except, sometimes (often), the real world dictates otherwise. Sometimes, this means the end of the group / cult. But other times...they'll pour over the relevant scriptures, pluck words and concepts from this or that section, and essentially fabricate a new set of beliefs - which they will then adamantly insist were the correct ones all along, and their previous views either get declared heresy or get suppressed. Happened a couple times with Christianity at the outset - the endtimes got pushed back, and the perceived nature of Jesus changed pretty radically. (Mods, this is by way of example, only.)
And there are many, many historical examples of leaders and others making decisions on the basis of badly flawed, biased, or incomplete information.
Different people can and do remember the same event very differently, or focus on one thing to the point of not even noticing something else. Can't find the link at the moment, but the most recent example of this was one of these internet tests that involved keeping track of the shots during a clip of a basketball game. So, you watch the clip, count the shots, move on to the next section, and the question is 'did you notice the bear prancing about the court?' So, go back and re-watch the clip, and sure enough, there's a guy in a bear suit running around the court, often right next to the players making the shots.
There's another version of this that turns up with...those of extreme mindsets (most often religious cults). To these people, the groups founder or god has all the answers, period. Relevant prophecies *have* to be correct, period. Except, sometimes (often), the real world dictates otherwise. Sometimes, this means the end of the group / cult. But other times...they'll pour over the relevant scriptures, pluck words and concepts from this or that section, and essentially fabricate a new set of beliefs - which they will then adamantly insist were the correct ones all along, and their previous views either get declared heresy or get suppressed. Happened a couple times with Christianity at the outset - the endtimes got pushed back, and the perceived nature of Jesus changed pretty radically. (Mods, this is by way of example, only.)
And there are many, many historical examples of leaders and others making decisions on the basis of badly flawed, biased, or incomplete information.